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Decision Analysis for Management Judgment, 3rd Edition
Decision Analysis for Management Judgment, 3rd Edition
Paul Goodwin, The Management School, University of Bath
George Wright, Durham Business School, University of Durham
ISBN: 978-0-470-86108-0
©2004
492 pages
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Description  |  Author Info  |  Table of Contents  |  Detailed Contents  |  Hallmark Features  |  Sample Chapters  |  Supplements
Detailed Contents
Foreword Lawrence D. Phillips.

Preface.

Chapter 1: Introduction.

Chapter 2: How people make decisions involving multiple objectives.

Chapter 3: Decisions involving multiple objectives: SMART.

Chapter 4: Introduction to probability.

Chapter 5: Decision making under uncertainty.

Chapter 6: Decision trees and influence diagrams.

Chapter 7: Applying simulation to decision problems.

Chapter 8: Revising judgments in the light of new information.

Chapter 9: Biases in probability assessment.

Chapter 10: Methods for eliciting probabilities.

Chapter 11: Risk and uncertainty management.

Chapter 12: Decisions involving groups of individuals.

Chapter 13: Resource allocation and negotiation problems.

Chapter 14: Decision framing and cognitive inertia.

Chapter 15: Scenario planning: an alternative way of dealing with uncertainty.

Chapter 16: The analytic hierarchy process.

Chapter 17: Alternative decision-support systems.

Suggested answers to selected questions.

Index.  


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